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German online casino association challenges GGL’s 22.97% black-market estimate

DOCV managing director Julia Lensing says Germany’s official 2024 black-market estimate understates illegal activity and is calling for the regulator to publish more detailed data.

November 9, 2026 3 min read

In a 4 November interview with GlücksWirtschaft, German Online Casino Association (DOCV) managing director Julia Lensing challenged the Joint Gambling Authority of the Länder’s (GGL) estimate that unlicensed online gambling represented 22.97% of the German market in 2024. The GGL’s study, based on a survey of gamblers, calculated a 77.03% channelisation rate.

Different measures, competing claims

Lensing cited an H2 Gambling Capital estimate that 64% of German players use illegal offers and an unpublished update to a 2023 access-time study which, she said, put the illegal share of online gambling time at 57% in 2025. These figures measure different things and are association-reported claims, not directly comparable estimates of market revenue. Lensing also referred to Frankfurt investigations involving almost €5.86bn in stakes at one suspected illegal provider over two and a half years.

What DOCV wants changed

The association is calling for the GGL to publish more underlying market data, a more consistent nationwide online-casino licensing route, changes to virtual-slot taxation and stronger action against offshore operators. The debate matters to affiliates assessing Germany, but the DOCV’s estimates should not be presented as official market statistics.

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